Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.054330 1.276526 1.512820 1.780830 2.074486 2.384728 2.735571
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.807830 1.119310 1.474180 1.900102 2.389833 2.928603 3.559721
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.685349 1.045311 1.475078 2.009623 2.642078 3.353931 4.203816
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.592146 0.989260 1.484113 2.118868 2.887868 3.769361 4.837484
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.495760 0.910587 1.450192 2.162956 3.045394 4.073502 5.335452
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.403729 0.822768 1.393097 2.168877 3.149630 4.309860 5.750981
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.306425 0.710441 1.290655 2.106233 3.160799 4.428487 6.022408
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.228466 0.612487 1.196512 2.044919 3.166008 4.534044 6.273534
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.173164 0.539744 1.129440 2.012434 3.201894 4.672323 6.559907
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.142053 0.503612 1.112266 2.045039 3.319635 4.910261 6.966149
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.111711 0.461488 1.081172 2.054700 3.404895 5.106203 7.320382
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.080286 0.407228 1.024724 2.023635 3.432789 5.227741 7.581750
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.075453 0.417391 1.079910 2.163694 3.702301 5.669978 8.257722
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.069040 0.422327 1.126664 2.292953 3.960009 6.101042 8.925121
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062861 0.425855 1.169983 2.416461 4.209543 6.521554 9.579522
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056980 0.428544 1.211393 2.537306 4.456203 6.939638 10.232758
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044671 0.406762 1.206592 2.586441 4.603257 7.229204 10.725726
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.031098 0.372724 1.175622 2.592930 4.689632 7.439474 11.119084
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016239 0.318243 1.099041 2.523441 4.666286 7.504685 11.328266
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006789 0.269641 1.026563 2.455303 4.641050 7.564621 11.528551
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002296 0.234649 0.976422 2.419177 4.658079 7.677225 11.792732
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000879 0.220575 0.970336 2.455439 4.779629 7.928751 12.234815
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.201453 0.950047 2.466180 4.863043 8.128990 12.611172